February 2009

Price: $1,880.00

Business Aviation Avionics Market Analysis and Outlook, February 2009 (AB081)

Market Findings

  • Business aviation avionics markets remain very dynamic. Although a significant slow down of US and European market demand will affect sales over the next three years.

  • The sector remains the most innovative in terms of new technology adoption and experimentation.

  • Rockwell Collins, Honeywell and Universal Avionics continue to dominate the medium to higher market segments with Garmin establishing a solid foothold at the lower end of the market segment with emerging light jet programs.

  • The dominance of integrated systems will not lead to a similar dominance from one or two players alone. Aircraft OEMs are likely to mitigate risk with the transition to multiple subs working for a lead integrator on future key programs.

 

Key Figures

  • Market will grow from $2.1 billion in 2008 to $2.5 billion in 2020

  • Total Avionics CAGR for the forecast period is 1.2%

  • Avionics Retrofit CAGR for the forecast period is 2.1%

  • Estimates indicate that 3,500+ in or soon to be in-service business jets will receive a system upgrade/retrofit by 2020

 

Near Term Outlook

  • Limited opportunities remain for avionics suppliers due to the very limited number of new aircraft programs.

  • Retrofit market will suffer significantly from US and European recessions despite incentives

  • Increased complexity of avionics systems will limit opportunities for new entrants over the forecast period.

  • Migration downward will be increasingly possible for companies such as Rockwell Collins and Thales but will be a financially and technologically unlikely possibility for companies looking to migrate upward such as Garmin, Chelton or even CMC

 

Table of Contents

  • Executive Briefing

  • Executive Briefing

  • Definitions

  • Key Figures

  • Market Drivers

  • Market Restraints

  • Market Dynamics

  • Key market considerations for the near term

  • Segment Specific Avionics Trends & Issues

  • Market Performance Vs Business Jets Deliveries 1994-2008

  • Aircraft Deliveries (Units – all models 2008-2020)

  • Aircraft Deliveries (Units – all models 2008-2020)

  • Aircraft Deliveries (Units – all models 2008-2020)

  • Aircraft Deliveries (Percentage Breakdown by categories 2008-2020)

  • Market Analysis:VLJ/PLJ Deliveries (2009-2020)

  • VLJ/PLJs: Failure or Delayed Success?

  • Market Analysis: Business Jets minus PLJs/VLJs (2009- 2020)

  • Aircraft OEMs Production Value (2008-2020)

  • Market Analysis: Aircraft Production by OEMs

  • Top 3 Aircraft OEMS billings ($ million- 2008-2020) Research Note AB081

  • Aircraft Deliveries Breakdown ( PLJ- Units 2008-2020)

  • Aircraft Deliveries ( PLJ -Shipment Values 2008-2020)

  • Aircraft Deliveries Breakdown (Light Jets- Units 2008-2020)

  • Aircraft Deliveries ( Light Jets -Shipment Values 2008-2020)

  • Aircraft Deliveries Breakdown ( Midsize/Large Jets- Units 2008-2020)

  • Aircraft Deliveries (Midsize/Large Jets -Shipment Values 2008-2020)

  • Business and Personal Jets Deliveries Market shares 2008

  • Business and Personal Jets Deliveries Market shares 2014

  • Business and Personal Jets Deliveries Market shares 2020

  • Total Avionics Revenues 2008-2020

  • Total Avionics Revenues 2008-2020 (RF/FF)

  • Total Avionics Revenues 2008-2020

  • Total Aircraft-Avionics Revenues 2008-2020

  • Retrofit Revenues 2008-2020

  • Revenues (Segmented by Aircraft Category – Forward Fit 2008-2020

  • Revenues (Segmented by Avionics Category, Forward Fit) 2008-2020

  • Competitive Market Share (Forward Fit Avionics Prime Shipments) 2008-2020

  • Competitive Market Share (Forward Fit Avionics Prime Revenues) 2008-2020

  • Competitive Market Share 2008-2020 Alternative Scenario: Thales Market Entry

  • Competitive Installed Base 2008 Selected Manufacturer’s Avionics Systems Installed Footprint

  • Competitive Outlook 2008-2020

  • Competitive Outlook 2008-2020: Items of Concern

  • Perceived level of Exposure of Avionics Companies During the next 3-5 years

  • Outlook: Critical Technology Areas

  • Market Analysis:Outlook

 

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