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Monday, June 30, 2003

Economy, New Aircraft Add To Traffic Growth

A steadily improving economy and the continuing additions to the regional airline fleet are allowing both available seat miles (ASMs) and revenue passenger miles (RPMs) to continue to rise at significant rates for the regional carriers.

Atlantic Coast Airlines (ACA) [Nasdaq: ACAI], which had been experiencing rapid growth, was hit by slower than expected traffic growth for May and for the year-to-date compared with the same periods last year. This was primarily due to a decline in United Express flying. ACA also stopped delivery of regional jets (RJs) because of the uncertainty over its relationship with United [OTC BB:UALAQ]. However, traffic is expected to pick up as additional RJs are delivered this summer. United's increasingly likely emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy protections is expected to have a positive impact on its partners as it adds routes to the United Express network.

SkyWest [Nasdaq: SKYW] saw a strong increase in May traffic, which should continue following the recent announcement that its relationship with United is to be expanded. That agreement calls for acquisition of additional aircraft to include both RJs and turboprops. The recent announcement about regional service out of Dulles International Airport and Denver should be a big boost for both ACA and SkyWest.

US Airways [OTC BB: USALA.OB] also announced new routes for three of its carriers--Chautauqua, PSA and Mesa [Nasdaq: MESA]--which should boost those carriers' traffic figures. Mesa will also benefit from the improved financial position of US Airways and America West [NYSE:AWA] as a result of loans guarantees from the Air Transportation Stabilization Board, as well as security fee reimbursements of $198 million and $73 million, respectively.

Air Wisconsin
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
184,227
132,996
38.5%
805,511
603,489
33.5%
Available Seat Miles (000)
232,429
192,407
20.8%
1,097,799
888,063
3.6%
Passenger Load Factor
79.3%
69.1%
10.2 pts
73.4%
68.0%
5.4 pts
Passengers Enplaned
465,366
336,339
38.4%
2,209,708
1,692,524
30.6%

American Eagle (Includes PR-based Executive Airlines)
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
405,665
350,839
15.6%
1,826,279
1,605,239
13.8%
Available Seat Miles (000)
622,392
539,495
15.4%
3,001,688
2,633,592
14.0%
Passenger Load Factor
65.2%
65.0%
0.2 pts
60.8%
61.0%
-0.2 pts
Passengers Enplaned
1,248,137
1,193,604
4.6%
5,788,760
5,601,199
3.3%

 

 

 

Atlantic Coast Airlines
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
286,967
243,833
17.7%
1,303,7414
1,082,961
20.4%
Available Seat Miles (000)
381,999
363,361
5.1%
1,851,306
1,777,748
4.1%
Passenger Load Factor
75.1%
67.1%
8.0 pts
70.4%
60.9%
9.5 pts
Passengers Enplaned
729,013
605,603
20.4%
3,342,512
2,633,745
26.9%

 

 

 

Atlantic Southeast Airlines
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
348,591
282,388
23.4%
1,556,063
1,230,324
26.5%
Available Seat Miles (000)
506,954
417,677
21.4%
2,384,613
1,884,286
26.6%
Passenger Load Factor
68.8%
67.6%
1.2 pts
65.3%
65.3%
Unch.
Passengers Enplaned
809,662
714,959
13.2%
3,718,761
3,117,614
19.3%

 

 

 

Chicago Express
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
17,013
10,601
60.5%
79,640
49,515
60.8%
Available Seat Miles (000)
25,414
15,592
63.0%
128,268
75,164
70.7%
Passenger Load Factor
66.9%
68.0%
-1.1 pts
62.1%
65.9%
-3.8 pts
Passengers Enplaned
96,704
65,984
46.6%
435,828
312,304
45.3%

 

 

 

Comair
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
425,555
317,843
33.9%
1,838,534
1,382,323
33.0%
Available Seat Miles (000)
647,795
464,100
39.6%
2,948,357
2,153,683
36.9%
Passenger Load Factor
65.7%
73.0%
-7.3 pts
65.1%
72.0%
-6.9 pts

 

 

 

ExpressJet
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
486,351
343,964
41.4%
1,995,247
1,492,199
33.7%
Available Seat Miles (000)
695,246
523,893
32.7%
3,106,359
2,447,698
26.9%
Passenger Load Factor
70.0%
65.7%
4.3 pts
64.2%
61.0%
3.2 pts
Block Hours
48,735
42,684
14.2%
222,402
206,719
7.6%

 

 

 

Mesa
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
257,280
195,550
31.6%
1,068,894
814,961
31.2%
Available Seat Miles (000)
395,452
313,797
26.0%
1,763,224
1,437,772
22.6%
Passenger Load Factor
65.1%
62.3%
2.7 pts
60.6%
56.7%
3.9 pts
Passengers Enplaned
582,216
492,099
18.3%
2,458,301
2,099,216
17.1%

 

 

 

Mesaba
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
129,525
135,743
-4.6%
633,981
595,030
6.5%
Available Seat Miles (000)
239,300
232,149
3.1%
1,155,587
1,108,864
4.2%
Passenger Load Factor
54.1%
58.5%
-4.4 pts
54.9%
53.7%
1.2 pts
Passengers Enplaned
491,952
470,589
4.5%
2,166,896
2,054,581
5.5%

 

 

 

Skyway (Midwest Connect)
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
18,172
16,776
8.3%
82,508
72,001
14.6%
Available Seat Miles (000)
34,139
35,176
-2.9%
170,155
156,648
8.6%
Passenger Load Factor
53.3%
47.7%
5.6 pts
48.5%
46.0%
2.5 pts
Passengers Enplaned (O&D)
48,446
52,052
-6.9%
231,020
224,649
2.8%

 

 

 

SkyWest
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
335,105
244,078
37.3%
1,530,879
1,106,963
38.3%
Available Seat Miles (000)
464,068
360,556
28.7%
2,215,670
1,672,807
32.5%
Passenger Load Factor
72.2%
67.7%
4.5 pts
69.1%
66.2%
2.9 pts
Passengers Enplaned
860,751
695,313
23.8%
3,907,052
3,222,544
21.2%

US Airways Express (Allegheny, Piedmont and PSA)
May Traffic
2003
2002
Change
YTD 2003
YTD 2002
Change
Revenue Passenger Miles (000)
113,113
146,201
-22.6%
513,396
613,783
-164%
Available Seat Miles (000)
208,506
260,372
-19.9%
1,011,082
1,186,528
-4.8%
Passenger Load Factor
54.2%
56.2%
-1.9 pts
50.8%
51.7%
-0.9 pts
Passengers Enplaned
518,465
645,431
-19.7%
2,321,236
2,762,063
-16.0%