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Monday, February 20, 2006

Box Scores: December Financial Reports

ACE Aviation* [ACE] (Air Canada, Air Canada Jazz) *All financial results expressed in Canadian dollars
December Trend | 2004 to 2005 Trend Quarter Ending Dec. 30, 2005 Quarter Ending Dec. 30, 2004 Percent Change Year 2005 Year 2004 Percent Change
UP Jazz Operating Revenue
$304M
$188M
61.7%
$1B
$804M
nm#
UP Jazz Total Expenses
$270M
$166M
62.6%
$894M
$793M
nm#
UP Jazz Operating Profit/Loss
$34M
$22M
54.5%
$129M
$11M
nm#
DN ACE Net Results Per Share
($1.02)
17 cents
(700%)
$2.46
nm#
nm#

Analysis: Although Jazz earned $34 million in operating profit, Air Canada posted a $91 million loss for the fourth quarter. ACE Holdings' reported a net loss of $103 million in the fourth quarter, primarily due to higher fuel costs. The company is cutting 600 management and salaried workers from its work foce to reduce expenses. The non-union labor force will be cut about 20 percent. These cuts are not anticipated to directly impact Jazz. Apple-to-apple comparisons for ACE and Jazz's 2004-to-2005 operations are not possible because its operations were restructured as a result of the 2003-2004 bankruptcy. The bulk of Jazz's new fleet is in place with the arrival in 2006 of 15 CRJ 705s, 13 new CRJ 200s and another 15 CRJ 200s transferred from Air Canada. #nm = not meaningful

SkyWest [SKYW] (Atlantic Southeast Airlines, SkyWest Airlines) {Delta Air Lines, United Airlines}
December Trend | Nine Month Trend Quarter Ending Dec. 30, 2005 Quarter Ending Dec. 30, 2004 Percent Change Nine Months Fiscal 2005 Nine Months Fiscal 2004 Percent Change
UP | UP Revenue
$742.3
$326.6
127.3
$1.9
$1.1
72.7
UP | UP Expenses
$656.9
$289.8
126.7
$1.7
$1.0
70.0
UP | UP Operating Income
$85.3
$36.8
131.8
$220.4
$144.7
52.3
UP | UP Net Income
$38.6
$21.2
82.1
$112.2
$81.9
37.0
UP | UP Net Income Per Share
$0.64
$0.37
73.0
$1.90
$1.40
35.7
DN | DN Yield
20.8 cents
21.1 cents
(1.4%)
20.3 cents
20.5 cents
(1%)
UP | UP RASM
15.7 cents
15.6 cents
0.6%
15.4 cents
15.3 cents
0.7%
UP | UP CASM
14.5 cents
14.1 cents
2.8%
14.1 cents
13.6 cents
3.7%

Analysis: SkyWest's fourth quarter results include the first full quarter of its ownership of Atlantic Southeast. The combined earnings for the company were up 73 percent and in line with Wall Street's estimates. SkyWest is not breaking out the performance of each airline. The company's cash balance stands at $324 million. SkyWest maintained a 11.2 percent operating margin in 2005.

Air T [AIRT] {FedEx}
December Trend | Nine Month Trend Quarter Ending Dec. 30, 2005 Quarter Ending Dec. 30, 2004 Percent Change Nine Months Fiscal 2005 Nine Months Fiscal 2004 Percent Change
DN | UP Cargo Revenue
$10.5M
$10.6M
(0.9%)
$32.4M
$28.6M
13.3%
UP | UP Equipment Revenue
$12.8M
$8.2M
56.1%
$26.2M
$21.1M
24.2%
UP | UP Total revenue
$23.4M
$18.3M
27.9%
$58.7M
$49.7M
18.1%
UP | UP Expenses
$22.2M
$17.5M
26.9%
$56.7M
$47.2M
20.1%
UP | DN Operating Income
$1.1M
$775,000
41.9%
$2M
$2.5M
(20%)
UP | DN Net Income
$675,000
$485,000
39.2%
$1.2M
$1.5M
(20%)
UP | DN Net Income Per Share
25 cents
18 cents
38.9
46 cents
58 cents
(20.7%)

Analysis: The 13 percent growth over the last nine months in cargo revenues at Air T, billed by Mountain Air and CSA, account for the expenses of switching to the ATR aircraft. FedEx, which owns the 99 planes flown by Air T's cargo units, has been covering the conversion costs. In the last nine months, the company has paid out more than $900,000 in damages and repair costs associated with the February 2005 collapse of a de-icing boom, made by Air T's Global Ground Support unit, at the Philadelphia airport. The impact of repairs has been limited to $100,000 in the most recent quarter.

MAIR Holdings [MAIR] (Mesaba Aviation, Big Sky Airlines) {Northwest Airlines, Alaska Air, Horizon Air, America West Airlines}
December Trend | Nine Month Trend Quarter Ending Dec. 30, 2005 Quarter Ending Dec. 30, 2004 Percent Change Nine Months Fiscal 2005 Nine Months Fiscal 2004 Percent Change
DN | UP Mesaba Revenue
$102.7M
$107.8M
(4.7%)
$322.5M
$320.4M
0.7%
UP | UP Big Sky Revenue
$5.2M
$3.7M
40.5%
$14.9M
$11.2M
33%
DN | DN MAIR Revenue
$21.2M
$111.5
(81%)
$250.8M
$331.7M
(24.4%)
DN | UP Mesaba Expenses
$98.2M
$104.2M
(5.8%)
$356.5M
$305.6M
16.7%
UP | UP Big Sky Expenses
$6.5M
$4.2M
54.8%
$20.6M
$13.6M
51.5%
DN | DN MAIR Expenses
$28.3M
$109.6M
(74.2%)
$299M
$319.8M
(6.5%)
UP | DN Mesaba Operating Income
$4.5M
$3.5M
25.6%
($33.9M)
$14.8M
(129%)
DN | DN MAIR Operating Income
($7M)
$1.8M
(488.8%)
($48.2M)
$11.8M
(508.4%)
DN | DN Mesaba Net Income
$636,000
$2M
(69.1%)
($25.1M)
$8.5M
(395.2%)
DN | DN MAIR Net Income
($4.4m)
$1.4M
(414.2%)
($28.7M)
$9M
(418.8%)
DN | DN MAIR Net Income Per Share
(22 cents)
7 cents
(414.2%)
($1.40)
44 cents
(418.1%)
UP | UP Mesaba RASM
15.3 cents
13.6 cents
12.5%
14.7 cents
13.9 cents
5.8%
UP | UP Big Sky RASM
26.7 cents
26.4 cents
1.1%
26.3 cents
24.9 cents
5.6%
UP | UP Mesaba CASM
14.7 cents
13.1 cents
12.2%
16.2 cents
13.2 cents
22.7%
UP | UP Big Sky CASM
32.8 cents
30.3 cents
8.3%
36.1 cents
30 cents
20.3%

Analysis: With the Oct. 13 bankruptcy declaration by Mesaba Aviation, MAIR Holdings separated its financial reporting. Other than the first 13 days of the quarter, Mesaba's income and losses are not included in MAIR's. As a result of this accounting change, MAIR is now reporting details for both Mesaba and Big Sky. However, Big Sky's operating results are still not reported. Both Mesaba and MAIR adjusted the second quarter's results to reflect the $32 million payment Northwest did not make as it went into bankruptcy.

Alpine Air Express [ALPE]
Fiscal Year Trend Year Ending Oct., 31, 2005 Year Ending Oct., 31, 2004 Percent Change
UP Revenue
$22.6M
$14.9M
51.7%
UP Direct Costs
$17M
$9.8M
73.5%
UP Operating Income
($1.4M)
($1.3M)
7.7%
UP Net Income/Loss
($1.4M)
($1.3M)
7.7%
Net Income/Loss Per Share
(8 cents)
(8 cents)
no change

Analysis: The U.S. Postal Service contracts generate 97.6 percent of Alpine Air's annual income. The 51 percent growth in revenue was generated by the new Hawaiian contracts that began in April 2004. These initial contracts proved to be too expensive with higher fuel costs absorbed by Alpine and far less mail volume than projected New contracts have now been awarded for most of the Hawaiian routes. The first of these new contracts fueled a fourth quarter profit of $269,275. Alpine began working under new rates in January on other Hawaiian routes. Alpine did not provide a fourth quarter breakout.

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Source: Company reports