SAO PAULO,
Brazil,
Jan. 30 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- GOL Linhas Aereas
Inteligentes S.A. (NYSE: GOL and Bovespa: GOLL4), the parent company of
Brazilian airlines GOL Transportes Aereos S.A. ("GTA," Brazil's low-cost,
low-fare airline) and VRG Linhas Aereas S.A. ("VRG," Brazil's premium service
airline), provides its updated investor guidance.
4Q07
General Comments:
* Re-launch of VARIG Brand and premium service (marketing)
* Re-activation of Smiles program clients (marketing)
* Preparation/Launch of Santiago, Madrid, Mexico City service
(bases, crews, IT)
* Delayed delivery of three 767-300s to January 2008 (6% ASK Reduction)
* Fleet restructuring/modernization costs (VRG)
* Flight network adjustments (reduced utilization and LFs in CGH)
* Avg. fuel price/liter: R$ 1.64; Average fare: R$214 (+3% y-o-y)
* CASK: R$14.6e (1); RASK: R$15.0e
GOL Consolidated 3Q07A 4Q07G 4Q07E 4Q06A
(+/-) (+/-) (+/-) (+/-)
ASK Growth 72% 78% 60% 53%
Load Factor 61% 66% - 67% 68% 68%
Yield R$22 cents R$21 - R$22 R$21 cents R$23 cents
cents
Cask Ex-Fuel R$ 8.7 cents R$ 8.5 cents R$ 8.9 cents(1) R$ 9.4 cents
(1) Excluding non-recurring expenses and restructuring costs.
General Guidance
Comments 4Q07:
* Brazilian domestic passenger demand growth of 3.1x GDP (1) (3)
* 4Q07 Brazil GDP growth of 5.2% (1) (4)
* 4Q07 Brazil Domestic RPK growth of 16.0% (4)
Industry Drivers
and Metrics 2006A 2007G 2007E 2008G
(+/-) (+/-) (+/-) (+/-)
Brazil GDP Growth(%) 3.7 4.7 5.2 4.4
Brazil Domestic
RPK Growth (%)(2) 12.3 9.3 11.3 (4) 11.7
Brazil Inflation 3.1 3.9 4.4 (3) 3.9
BRL / USD (R$, avg.) 2.18 1.95 1.95 1.82
WTI (US$, avg.) 66 71 72 90
(1) 4Q07 vs. 4Q06
(2) 2007 vs. 2006
(3) Source: Central Bank
(4) Source: ANAC
General Guidance
Comments 2007 EoY:
* Smiles Mileage Program Customers: 5.8mm
* Voe Facil (Fly Easy) Installment Program cards issued: 649,000
* Increased Ancillary Revenues
* 30% of 1Q08 Fuel Consumption Hedged at US$ 65
* Early Redemption of VRG Convertible Debentures
* Exercise of 34 Purchase Options on 737-800 NGs
* Accelerated delivery of 1 737-800 NG (Dec/07)
* Initiated return of 737-300s
GOL Drivers &
Metrics 2006A 2007G 2007E 2008G
(+/-) (+/-) (+/-) (+/-)
Pax Transported (000) 17,700 24,100 23,690 32,000
ASKs, System (mm) 20,200 35,600 34,348 47,000
International ASK
(% of total system) 10 22 21 25
RPKs, System (mm) 14,800 23,400 22,670 31,000
Cargo & Other
Revenues (R$ mm) 126 380 380 750
Departures (000) 165 242 237 290
CASK ex-fuel
(R$ cents) (1) 9.2 8.5 8.9 8.4
Fuel cost per
liter (R$ / liter) 1.72 1.65 1.61 1.62
Fuel liters
consumed (mm) 713 1,190 1,177 1,500
Pre-tax margins
(%) (2) 21 6 - 7 3 8 - 10
Estimated tax
rate (%) (2) 29 27 22 25
Capital expenditures
(R$ mm) (2) 1,244 960 820 1,100
Total Cash
Balance (R$ bn) 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6
Total Net
Adj. Debt (3)/
Total Cap. (%) (2) 27 50 69 55
Total Net
Adj. Debt (3)/
EBITDAR (x) (2) 1.4 5.0 7.9 3.0
Dividends per Share
(R$ cents per Q) 21 35 35 18
Total Shares
Outstanding (mm) (4) 196.2 200.3 202.3 202.3
(1) CASK ex-fuel is a non-USGAAP financial measure
(2) US GAAP
(3) Balance sheet debt and capital leases plus 7x annual rent less cash
(4) US GAAP. Total shares outstanding are based on general estimates and
assumptions. The number of shares in the actual calculation of EPS
will likely be different from those set forth above
Fleet Plan
General Comments:
* The Company currently operates 99 Boeing 737 aircraft, including the
300, 700NG and 800NG
* In 2008, the Company plans to replace 737-300s with 737-700s and
737-800s.
Combined Fleet Plan
(Operating, EOP) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
B737-300 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
B737-700 NG 31 31 31 27 25 16 8 0
B737-800 NG 17 33 22 19 15 13 11 8
B737-800 NG SFP 24 37 52 68 80 95 116 129
B767-300 ER 7 10 11 12 13 14 14 14
Total 106 111 116 126 132 138 149 151
Investor Relations
(5511) 3169 6800
ri@golnaweb.com.br
http://www.voegol.com.br/ir
Media
(5511) 3169 6967
comcorp@golnaweb.com.br
Edelman; G. Juncadella and M. Smith
+1 (212) 704-4448 / 704-8196
gabriela.juncadella@edelman.com;
meaghan.smith@edelman.com