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10.26.2009		Recovery In Rentals Still Six Months Away Lease rentals of even the more popular aircraft types are considered to have sustained further falls in the context of still fragile demand. Comparing lease rentals on a like for like basis can be difficult given the influence of interest rates. The lack of...
10.26.2009		Older Widebodies At Scrap Levels The fate of the older widebodies has been sealed for some time. Values have declined to scrap levels from which there is no expectation of a recovery. Unfortunately in this market, the older widebodies reached scrap levels much sooner than expected, never to...
10.26.2009		Say Goodbye The combination of age, reliability and high fuel prices have continued to ensure that the DC10-30 has been displaced to the sidelines such that the passing of the type is imminent. The recent improved fortunes of the B767-300ER hark back to the late 1980s...
10.26.2009		Aircraft Asset Assessment
10.26.2009		The DC10-30 Market Presence. The surprise is that there are still DC10-30s in service. Gone are such flag carrier names as British Airways, SAS, Sabena, Swissair, Lufthansa, MAS, Northwest, Thai. The operator base of the –30, a prime consideration when assessing...
10.26.2009		Potential Ryanair Order Likely to See Lesser Discounting Any order for 200 aircraft is likely to see significant discounting but Ryanair is not likely to achieve the same degree of discounting that it secured in early 2002 when it placed a similar order with Boeing. Ryanair is still reportedly paying something like...
10.12.2009		Probable B777 Freight Conversion Highlights Value Erosion B777-200/-200ER Values Have Suffered Allowing Conversion Potential The imminent launch of a conversion program for the B777-200 and -200ER may provide some reassurance that there will be a future for those aircraft due to be retired in the coming years but it...
10.12.2009		B737RE & A320RE Programs Gather Pace Forcing Residual Value Analysis With the aviation industry needing to deliver on a target of halving aircraft emissions by 2050, the move towards an interim solution for more efficient narrowbodies draws ever closer, making it necessary to continually re-assess residual value forecasts. A...
10.12.2009		Latest Biz Jet Forecast Sees Limited Short Term Recovery The rate of fall in the price of business jets may have slowed in recent months but with more than 16 percent of the worlds business jet fleet still being advertised for sale, the excess will forestall a return to 1,000 deliveries per year. The year 2008 saw...
10.12.2009		Freighters Rentals Wait for Traffic Rebound The drop in airfreight continues with IATA reporting a year on year fall. The reading of airfreight traffic levels will become increasingly complicated as a year ago traffic was already sliding. Comparing forthcoming monthly figures with those of a year ago...
10.12.2009		Widebody Values Continue to Face Difficult Times While there are well intentioned or vested interest attempts to talk up the state of the market, widebody values in general continue to falter such that the last six months is likely to have seen another ten percent fall. Some regions continue to report...
10.12.2009		A330-200 Values Dip Amid Sustained Demand The weaker market conditions have taken their toll on the values of the A330-200 and the premium previously applied to the type has dissipated amid a sense of realism. The delay in the development of the B787, as well as the elongated service entry of the...
10.12.2009		Aircraft Asset Assessment A330-200 Market Presence. Orders for the A330-200 now clearly outstrip those for the A330-300 by a third despite the former having the advantage of five extra years of service. The A330-200 represents a formidable competitor to the smaller B767-300ER and the...
10.12.2009		Higher Weight A330-200 Warrants Premium The introduction of a higher maximum take-off weight for the A330-200 warrants a premium over the standard 233 tonne version. The A330-200 has been in service since 1998 and initially featured a MTOW of 230 tonnes. This was subsequently increased 233 tonnes...
09.28.2009		B747-400 Values Face Severe Pressure Fleet Contractions Increase Supply & Reduce Demand Values of the B747-400 continue to falter as the number of aircraft placed into storage continues to mount. The problem for the B747-400 lies with rising age and falling traffic. The loss of premium...
09.28.2009		Lease Rate & Value Behavior Follows Classic Trend Historically, values and lease rentals have reacted differently during the course of the cycle and this recession is exhibiting the same trends. Values and lease rentals are subject to differing forces and timings. Lease rentals tend to be more volatile than...
09.28.2009		Passenger Perceptions Play Only Minor Role in Whether to Order Turboprops British Airways Cityflyer may have cited adverse passenger perception as one of the reasons when opting to order Embraer E-Jets but this is decision will not have a negative impact on demand for propeller aircraft. There has been in the past, a clear...
09.28.2009		Widebody Lease Rates Hit the Buffers The lease rentals of widebodies continue to falter as the industry heads for the weakest part of the year. Wet leases are bound to soar as operators see at least some revenue from underutilized capital assets. The significant fall in premium traffic is...
09.28.2009		Chapter 2 Segment has no Relevance Chapter 2 aircraft have little or no relevance to asset based financing. While such aircraft are traded, finding finance based on the value of the asset is virtually impossible. The number in permanent storage is ever rising and the junkyards cannot keep up...
09.28.2009		B747-400 Values Tumble Just as the eighteen month period through to the beginning of 2008 saw a significant rise in values of the B747-400 so too has the most recent eighteen month period seen a very substantive fall. The development of the B747-8, albeit late, finally draws a line...
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